Immigration Levels Could Drive Canada’s Population To 55 Million Mark By 2068

While many advanced countries anticipate some significant population decrease over the next fifty (50) years, Canada’s population is expected to rise as a result of immigration.

Statistics Canada latest reports shows  that Canadian population could likely reach fifty-five (55) million people by the year 2068 under a medium-growth scenario, up from about 37.1 million in 2018.

Statistics Canada created nine “plausible long-term scenarios” in order to forecast what Canada’s population may look like in the future: a low-growth scenario, five medium-growth scenario, a high-growth scenario, that differ in interprovincial migration assumptions, a slow-aging scenario, and fast-aging scenario.

“In all scenarios, immigration would remain the main drivers of population explosion over the next 50 years,” as has been the case since the early 1990s.” Statistics Canada

Canada’s Population growth in Alberta and Ontario projected to outpace other provinces

Statistics Canada fore-cast that the population will rise in some provinces and territories but decrease in others over the next twenty-six five (25) years.

All scenarios indicate Ontario’s population rising, with a high estimate of 20.4 million residents by 2043 in contrast to 14.3 million in 2018.

The population growth rate in Alberta would be the highest among Canadian provinces over the next twenty-five (25) years, Statistics Canada says. Its population could get to a high of 7.3 million people by 2043, with an increase of three million over 2018.

Most scenarios showed the population of Alberta exceeding that of British Columbia.

“Together, Ontario and Alberta could account for more than 50 per cent of Canada’s projected growth between 2018 and 2043 in all scenarios,” Statistics Canada declared.

Quebec, Atlantic Provinces, Prairie Provinces, Territories

The populations of Saskatchewan and Manitoba are also expected to increase over the next twenty-five (25) years. Combined, the two provinces could surpass the population of Quebec, according to all forcasted scenarios, by 2043.

Most scenarios showed Quebec’s population growing at a less rapid rate than the rest of other Canadian provinces. Whereas Quebec’s share of the total Canadian population stood at 22.6 per cent in 2018, Statistics Canada’s forecasts showed it diminishing to between 20.1 per cent and 20.6 per cent by 2043.

Low, and in some cases, negative population growth is projected for Canada’s Atlantic Provinces, who are shown to represent “either a decreasing or stable share of the Canadian population by 2043,” Statistics Canada says.

Canada’s population in the three territories could rise in all scenarios, yet their share of the total Canadian population would still  remain at about 0.3 per cent over the next twenty-five (25) years.